Rikke De Koning won. Smart money backed Aya El Sayed (2 ranked wallets, average entry 42¢) and lost. Volume $320. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 69% · No change 28% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.7M |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | FURIA 60% · BetBoom Team 40% | $1.4M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $939k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 20% · Kamala Harris 4% | $758k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 39% · Marco Rubio 19% · Ron DeSantis 13% | $565k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 30% | $425k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 24% · T1 17% | $390k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 42% · No 59% | $258k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xc07 | Rikke De Koning | $59.40 |
| v4test | Rikke De Koning | $6.77 |
| pcjones | Rikke De Koning | $4.53 |
| predict008 | Rikke De Koning | $2.03 |
| 0xc07 | Aya El Sayed | −$35.53 |
| samo88 | Aya El Sayed | −$4.32 |
| stable-winner | Aya El Sayed | −$2.10 |
| kal3ido | Aya El Sayed | −$2.10 |
| 0xf807… | Aya El Sayed | −$1 |
9 wallets held a position at the close. The 4 biggest winners took $73; the 5 biggest losers gave up $45. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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