Astrid Cirotte won. Smart money backed Milla Sequeira (1 ranked wallet, average entry 6¢) and lost. Volume $2.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 68% · No change 30% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.7M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 19% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $1.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.1M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 21% · Joe Kent 1% | $694k |
| FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax | AFC Ajax 45% · FC Midtjylland 33% | $436k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $430k |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05? | Yes 60% · No 41% | $402k |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Dplus KIA 41% · Bilibili Gaming 60% | $376k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Winerius | Astrid Cirotte | $51.20 |
| poshposh | Astrid Cirotte | $1.75 |
| arbtemis | Astrid Cirotte | $1.50 |
| Valueboss | Astrid Cirotte | $1.27 |
| signalso | Astrid Cirotte | $1.09 |
| StarByStar | Astrid Cirotte | $0.84 |
| 0x8526… | Astrid Cirotte | $0.82 |
| Filips7 | Milla Sequeira | −$24.48 |
| whatmoreuwantcadi | Milla Sequeira | −$20.65 |
| uwu1234 | Milla Sequeira | −$18.09 |
| 0x6318… | Milla Sequeira | −$6.43 |
11 wallets held a position at the close. The 7 biggest winners took $58; the 4 biggest losers gave up $70. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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