Preston Stearns won. Smart money backed Alejandro Arcila (2 ranked wallets, average entry 2¢) and lost. Volume $1.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.4M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $1.2M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $870k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez | Mika Stojsavljevic 16% · Zeynep Sonmez 85% | $648k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $539k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $333k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| oliverea | Preston Stearns | $206.39 |
| Crovax | Preston Stearns | $41 |
| 0x6b25… | Preston Stearns | $13.32 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Preston Stearns | $8.87 |
| 0xc07 | Preston Stearns | $5.20 |
| tjab0n | Preston Stearns | $1.35 |
| arbtemis | Preston Stearns | $1.33 |
| minasmaker | Alejandro Arcila | −$8.69 |
| MinasMorgul | Alejandro Arcila | −$3.89 |
| olegautak | Alejandro Arcila | −$3.70 |
| PannoniaZbeg | Alejandro Arcila | −$1.82 |
| pablo8888 | Alejandro Arcila | −$1.30 |
14 wallets held a position at the close. The 7 biggest winners took $277; the 7 biggest losers gave up $22. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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