No won. Smart money backed Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 8¢) and lost. Volume $16k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $2.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Andy Beshear 3% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $997k |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $977k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $683k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Elena Pridankina vs Alexandra Shubladze | Elena Pridankina 19% · Alexandra Shubladze 82% | $379k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 73% · Puma Shen 27% | $352k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| nonkenny90 | No | $286.78 |
| ifyouloveme | No | $80 |
| 0x6bd2… | No | $71.75 |
| buddy69 | No | $44.15 |
| Te0n2 | No | $33.41 |
| bernardbulletin | No | $24.30 |
| Tomekyy | No | $19.20 |
| LSDenjoyer | No | $17.00 |
| pour-la-retraite | No | $12.28 |
| richyee | No | $11.50 |
| Nostdam | No | $6.86 |
| burndd | No | $4.80 |
49 wallets held a position at the close. The 26 biggest winners took $637; the 23 biggest losers gave up $487. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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