No 59% · Yes 42%. Smart money leans No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 25¢). Volume $4.4k, liquidity $283. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $814k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $224k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 89% · No 12% | $217k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 26% · No 75% | $198k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $185k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $168k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $163k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $162k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | 260 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 169 |
| Kurumi.chan. | Yes | 139 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 129 |
| rrqqzq | Yes | 80 |
| goodman-1 | Yes | 63 |
| vozomnil | Yes | 60 |
| jkerkela | Yes | 43 |
| waieel | Yes | 32 |
| 0xd0d90c | Yes | 25 |
| hugecaulk | No | 630 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 244 |
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