Yes 99% · No 1%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 18¢). Volume $1.8k, liquidity $258. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Khamenei # posts October 30 - November… →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $284k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 76% · No 25% | $255k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $154k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $154k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $146k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $118k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $113k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | Yes 84% · No 17% | $105k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kurumi.chan. | Yes | 2k |
| vozomnil | Yes | 80 |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | Yes | 74 |
| goodman-1 | Yes | 73 |
| Zxc67 | Yes | 40 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | 30 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 28 |
| etghzcer | Yes | 26 |
| 0xd0d90c | Yes | 25 |
| a5533 | Yes | 20 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 2k |
| LornaPredicts | No | 132 |
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