No won. Smart money backed Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 7¢) and lost. Volume $25k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 61% · Anthropic 32% · OpenAI 4% | $51k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 72% · Anthropic 22% · OpenAI 3% | $45k |
| GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...? | November 5 39% · November 6 13% · November 10 11% | $28k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 11 32% · November 10 22% · November 9 8% | $26k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 81% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 2–November 8 2% | $17k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026? | Yes 47% · No 53% | $10k |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 83% · No 17% | $9k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 94% · No 6% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| hjnyterh | Yes | $115.67 |
| endoption | No | $62.46 |
| hithitfar | No | $18.44 |
| k1ngslayer | No | $8.08 |
| 0xbada… | No | $7.90 |
| RustyScissors | No | $6.95 |
| TeenagePanda | No | $5.33 |
| PolyEGG | No | $3.63 |
| Simpasa124 | Yes | $2.74 |
| Elias.Thornwell | No | $2.67 |
| li5478685 | No | $1.05 |
| 0xd7af… | No | $0.95 |
37 wallets held a position at the close. The 17 biggest winners took $240; the 20 biggest losers gave up $457. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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