No won. Smart money backed Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $844. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 62% · No 38% | $58k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 7? | 20°C 48% · 19°C 36% · 21°C 9% | $15k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | Yes 89% · No 12% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 55% · 27°C 31% · 29°C 17% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 7? | 62-63°F 50% · 60-61°F 40% · 64-65°F 9% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 7? | 20°C 53% · 19°C 42% · 18°C 6% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 7? | 76-77°F 38% · 80-81°F 11% · 74-75°F 7% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 7? | 10°C 33% · 12°C 16% · 9°C 9% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Bilberry | No | $102.03 |
| ComicSansMS | No | $11 |
| startrusttt | No | $10.76 |
| 0x567 | No | $7.40 |
| 0x1941… | No | $3.36 |
| 0x567 | Yes | −$20.40 |
| 0xecdb… | Yes | −$18.87 |
| startrusttt | Yes | −$17.07 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | −$9.80 |
9 wallets held a position at the close. The 5 biggest winners took $135; the 4 biggest losers gave up $66. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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