No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 53¢) and lost. Volume $1.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 73% · No 28% | $67k |
| Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 26°C 55% · 25°C 38% · 24°C 4% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 3? | 74-75°F 52% · 76-77°F 21% · 72-73°F 17% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 28°C 54% · 29°C 39% · 27°C 8% | $9k |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $9k |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes 92% · No 9% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on November 3? | 28°C 57% · 27°C 34% · 29°C 9% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Busan on November 3? | 19°C 45% · 18°C 42% · 21°C 0% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| lochilo2 | No | $61.76 |
| jzy0546 | No | $22.10 |
| LuckyHT2 | No | $14.49 |
| dami-1 | No | $12.40 |
| Bilberry | No | $11.67 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $6.58 |
| xinlangxzx | No | $6.33 |
| 0x4f7e… | No | $2.59 |
| woff1236578 | No | $1.95 |
| sixty-two | No | $1.13 |
| eye1 | No | $1.13 |
| Aergia | No | $0.80 |
22 wallets held a position at the close. The 13 biggest winners took $143; the 9 biggest losers gave up $39. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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