No won. Smart money backed Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $75. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $58k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 6? | 30°C 100% · 31°C 0% | $22k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 49% · 13°C 18% · 11°C 18% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 72-73°F 47% · 70-71°F 27% · 68-69°F 13% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 98% · 3°C 2% · 4°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 6? | 3°C 14% · 6°C 6% · 7°C 1% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 6? | 86-87°F 63% · 84-85°F 34% · 82-83°F 2% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| tribunal | No | $0.90 |
| ranksdog | No | $0.75 |
| lyezzzzz | No | $0.50 |
| newbees | Yes | −$0.85 |
4 wallets held a position at the close. The 3 biggest winners took $2; the 1 biggest losers gave up $1. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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