Yes won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $1.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 47% | $58k |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on November 6? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $20k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 6? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 72-73°F 40% · 70-71°F 29% · 74-75°F 16% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 58% · 11°C 25% · 13°C 16% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Qingdao on November 6? | 13°C 100% · 14°C 1% · 15°C 0% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 74% · 3°C 21% · 4°C 1% | $11k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| pashnin | Yes | $140.29 |
| dami-1 | Yes | $32.11 |
| dub2-CF | Yes | $31.15 |
| 0xbc3c… | Yes | $15.29 |
| twobonclay | Yes | $12.15 |
| 0xb0f3… | Yes | $9.55 |
| brra | Yes | $8.80 |
| Bilberry | Yes | $6.67 |
| LoogLong | Yes | $4 |
| AppleCider22 | Yes | $3.31 |
| ravendaren | Yes | $1.60 |
| 0x567 | Yes | $1.00 |
19 wallets held a position at the close. The 12 biggest winners took $266; the 7 biggest losers gave up $77. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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