No won. Smart money backed Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 10¢) and lost. Volume $953. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 6? | 13°C 97% · 14°C 2% · 16°C 0% | $57k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 6? | 29°C 46% · 30°C 43% · 31°C 5% | $24k |
| Highest temperature in Manila on November 6? | 34°C 61% · 33°C 37% | $21k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $19k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 6? | 20°C 64% · 19°C 15% · 21°C 10% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Wellington on November 6? | 19°C 93% · 20°C 8% · 21°C 0% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Busan on November 6? | 17°C 46% · 16°C 41% · 18°C 6% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 54% · 3°C 43% · 4°C 3% | $11k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Bilberry | No | $15.73 |
| gghff | No | $12.35 |
| dami-1 | No | $12.22 |
| dub2-CF | No | $7.98 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $1.59 |
| hn54pVpVmJsjn2CA | Yes | −$13.25 |
| westmen | Yes | −$4.24 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | −$1.67 |
| dp. | Yes | −$1.01 |
| yewuyusile | Yes | −$1 |
| CowardSuperHero | Yes | −$1 |
| whhisky | Yes | −$0.90 |
13 wallets held a position at the close. The 5 biggest winners took $50; the 8 biggest losers gave up $24. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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