Yes won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 45¢) and lost. Volume $2.0k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 63% · No 38% | $33k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 2? | 31°C 72% · 30°C 27% · 32°C 2% | $25k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 2? | 80-81°F 50% · 82-83°F 37% · 78-79°F 4% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Taipei on November 2? | 30°C 100% · 32°C 1% · 31°C 0% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 2? | 8°C 54% · 7°C 32% · 9°C 11% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 2? | 19°C 99% · 20°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 2? | 12°C 19% · 10°C 9% · 13°C 2% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 2? | 13°C 49% · 12°C 47% · 10°C 0% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| sbel | Yes | $149.66 |
| Bilberry | Yes | $98.58 |
| TakeYourTemperature | Yes | $63.38 |
| arsenal85 | Yes | $29.87 |
| twobonclay | Yes | $23.96 |
| LoneForestWolf | Yes | $22.03 |
| ventyclob | Yes | $14.43 |
| dami-1 | Yes | $13.50 |
| Tallguy2527 | Yes | $11.40 |
| vasilutz | Yes | $7.77 |
| Trufa-Negra | Yes | $7.42 |
| 0x969a… | Yes | $7.03 |
43 wallets held a position at the close. The 26 biggest winners took $497; the 17 biggest losers gave up $204. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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