Yes won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 81¢) and lost. Volume $393. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 2? | 31°C 44% · 30°C 41% · 29°C 7% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Helsinki on November 2? | 9°C 61% · 8°C 41% · 10°C 4% | $12k |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 2? | 82-83°F 37% · 84-85°F 25% · 78-79°F 2% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 2? | 7°C 52% · 8°C 32% · 6°C 5% | $10k |
| Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 2? | 25°C 98% · 26°C 0% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 2? | 18°C 45% · 19°C 26% · 17°C 24% | $9k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Z7dk3 | Yes | $48.56 |
| dim-sandwich | Yes | $18.80 |
| flynatol | Yes | $8.90 |
| 0x1941… | Yes | $6.58 |
| HotWeatherGirl | Yes | $2.06 |
| Ayqwer | Yes | $1.08 |
| Alcaraz2026 | Yes | $0.75 |
| bkvirendra | Yes | $0.75 |
| WilliMekkit | Yes | $0.67 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain2 | Yes | $0.55 |
| Bilberry | No | −$44.72 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain2 | No | −$14.91 |
16 wallets held a position at the close. The 10 biggest winners took $89; the 6 biggest losers gave up $89. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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