Yes won. Smart money backed No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 77¢) and lost. Volume $883. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 7? | 20°C 47% · 19°C 33% · 21°C 16% | $15k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | Yes 89% · No 11% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 52% · 27°C 34% · 29°C 16% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 7? | 60-61°F 44% · 62-63°F 42% · 64-65°F 8% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 7? | 20°C 51% · 19°C 34% · 18°C 7% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 7? | 76-77°F 39% · 80-81°F 11% · 74-75°F 7% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| malenkihren | Yes | $19.37 |
| dim-sandwich | Yes | $16.80 |
| brra | Yes | $15.40 |
| bingesquake | Yes | $14.80 |
| m8x.gort | Yes | $9.68 |
| Enjoy-Me | Yes | $8.31 |
| HotWeatherGirl | Yes | $7.82 |
| ComicSansMS | Yes | $3.70 |
| hard619 | Yes | $3.57 |
| flynatol | Yes | $2.10 |
| LoogLong | Yes | $1.54 |
| ShaneLin | Yes | $0.90 |
17 wallets held a position at the close. The 12 biggest winners took $104; the 5 biggest losers gave up $91. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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