No won. Volume $927. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 65% · Anthropic 30% · OpenAI 2% | $30k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 66% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 2–November 8 10% | $30k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 54% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 5% | $18k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $15k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $14k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 73% · No 27% | $11k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 68% · November 16–November 22 14% · November 9–November 15 7% | $10k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 11 29% · November 10 20% · No release by November 30 10% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| TheBigMuscle | No | $4.63 |
| 0xaf40… | No | $3.51 |
| Malganis | No | $3.00 |
| 0x1cc3… | No | $2.00 |
| Dr.mett | No | $1.01 |
| alphalab1 | Yes | −$2 |
| JosephIsGreat | Yes | −$1.67 |
| somecode33 | Yes | −$0.79 |
8 wallets held a position at the close. The 5 biggest winners took $14; the 3 biggest losers gave up $4. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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