Toronto Blue Jays won. Smart money backed Tampa Bay Rays (36 ranked wallets, average entry 41¢) and lost. Volume $1.1M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 33% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.2M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $510k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $457k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech | Ben Shelton 65% · Arthur Rinderknech 36% | $427k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $418k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $341k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x4d4f… | Toronto Blue Jays | $55k |
| 0xfc08… | Toronto Blue Jays | $42k |
| AnonymousUsername | Toronto Blue Jays | $9k |
| Giannis34x | Toronto Blue Jays | $2k |
| clarafernand | Toronto Blue Jays | $847.37 |
| KINGCHAMA | Toronto Blue Jays | $627.56 |
| 0x2805… | Toronto Blue Jays | $523.34 |
| Batigan | Toronto Blue Jays | $519.99 |
| xinwen4444 | Toronto Blue Jays | $400 |
| emenima | Toronto Blue Jays | $393.41 |
| 0xk3tr3 | Toronto Blue Jays | $300.56 |
| sauceaintfree | Toronto Blue Jays | $260.20 |
780 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $116k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $83k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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