ONIC won. Smart money backed Dewa United Esports (4 ranked wallets, average entry 48¢) and lost. Volume $912. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 12% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 2% | $4.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 6% · Andy Beshear 3% | $2.3M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| 76ers vs. Pistons | 76ers 51% · Pistons 50% | $840k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $778k |
| Bucks vs. Celtics | Bucks 16% · Celtics 84% | $741k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% · James Talarico 1% | $703k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| liuhong03 | ONIC | $12.68 |
| 0x3c8f… | ONIC | $10.92 |
| dfwllsdfj | ONIC | $8.90 |
| Nilvy | ONIC | $3.10 |
| player7player | ONIC | $3.01 |
| VitMo | ONIC | $2.88 |
| Jtiz | ONIC | $1.55 |
| 0x9f15… | ONIC | $1.33 |
| ckw888 | ONIC | $0.58 |
| ZeroWallet | Dewa United Esports | −$37.56 |
| cacingnaga03 | Dewa United Esports | −$15 |
| ckw888 | Dewa United Esports | −$9.60 |
18 wallets held a position at the close. The 9 biggest winners took $45; the 9 biggest losers gave up $84. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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