No 63% · Yes 38%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 80¢). Volume $37, liquidity $43. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $431k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $296k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $229k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 96% · No 5% | $203k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $160k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $154k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 43% · No 57% | $137k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $121k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hugecaulk | Yes | 28 |
| Pontus1510 | Yes | 2 |
| Savage-Snow | No | 20 |
| 0x7810…db23 | No | 8 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 2 |
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