Hawks won. Smart money backed Pistons (15 ranked wallets, average entry 52¢) and lost. Volume $0. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $2.1M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.4M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $894k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $652k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez | Mika Stojsavljevic 31% · Zeynep Sonmez 70% | $361k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 73% · Puma Shen 27% | $355k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xa1f1… | Hawks | $36k |
| KaraGozlum | Hawks | $17k |
| jiaf | Hawks | $13k |
| CemeterySun | Hawks | $13k |
| capul4 | Hawks | $9k |
| cadesportsguy | Hawks | $7k |
| xXFrameMoggedByFratLeaderXx67 | Hawks | $6k |
| temafloram | Hawks | $6k |
| reloadh | Hawks | $5k |
| lionss | Hawks | $5k |
| jianchicelue19 | Hawks | $5k |
| wangzaijiayou23 | Hawks | $5k |
3,406 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $231k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $137k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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