Nuggets won. Smart money backed Bucks (22 ranked wallets, average entry 70¢) and lost. Volume $4.2M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 31% · IA 12% · IA, KS 6% | $11.1M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $7.1M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 77% · R Senate, D House 20% · Republicans Sweep 4% | $6.1M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 76% · Republican Party 25% | $4.6M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 24% | $3.9M |
| Florida Governor Election Winner | Byron Donalds (R) 72% · David Jolly (D) 27% | $1.9M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 77% · Mike Rogers (R) 23% | $1.9M |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Top Esports 25% · Invictus Gaming 75% | $1.6M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ball52759 | Nuggets | $180k |
| 0x44d4… | Nuggets | $40k |
| theonlywaytoknow | Nuggets | $21k |
| 0xe6a3… | Nuggets | $11k |
| cumulus33 | Nuggets | $10k |
| lionss | Nuggets | $9k |
| jebak | Nuggets | $7k |
| lovejoeydiaz | Nuggets | $5k |
| P0GGERS | Nuggets | $5k |
| JayTravx | Nuggets | $5k |
| Till-i-Collapse | Nuggets | $5k |
| eaiden | Nuggets | $4k |
2,061 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $364k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $253k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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