Suns won. Smart money backed Warriors (5 ranked wallets, average entry 23¢) and lost. Volume $1.7M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.4M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA, MI 1% | $1.8M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 31% | $1.3M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 75% · Mike Rogers (R) 26% | $993k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14% · Christine Lagarde 8% | $740k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $732k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 43% | $528k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| dhgreg | Suns | $23k |
| stackingsats | Suns | $5k |
| shxtest1 | Suns | $4k |
| ElonSpam | Suns | $2k |
| Kangta7373 | Suns | $1k |
| 0x16ea… | Suns | $1k |
| lfg100k | Suns | $1k |
| kid1024 | Suns | $944.99 |
| sapupu | Suns | $921.31 |
| 0x2f4d… | Suns | $792.31 |
| enjoyablestench | Suns | $710.62 |
| 0xb5de… | Suns | $693.66 |
777 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $52k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $120k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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