Kings won. Smart money backed Mavericks (26 ranked wallets, average entry 73¢) and lost. Volume $1.2M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 69% · No change 30% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.7M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $974k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 21% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% · Kamala Harris 4% | $753k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 40% · Marco Rubio 19% · Ron DeSantis 13% | $699k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $468k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 72% · Puma Shen 29% | $432k |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | FURIA 66% · BetBoom Team 35% | $362k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $279k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| YEEES-but-why | Kings | $35k |
| stackingsats | Kings | $29k |
| drainedandpoor | Kings | $23k |
| robustmst | Kings | $20k |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Kings | $13k |
| Aceplus4 | Kings | $8k |
| big8betz | Kings | $8k |
| hi774c | Kings | $7k |
| Venusian | Kings | $7k |
| BaccaratRoulette | Kings | $6k |
| Stone1337 | Kings | $6k |
| WhiteMonster7 | Kings | $6k |
728 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $252k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $104k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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