No won. Smart money backed Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢) and lost. Volume $7.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 60% · Anthropic 32% · OpenAI 4% | $59k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 72% · Anthropic 25% · OpenAI 4% | $33k |
| GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...? | November 10 17% · November 12 16% · November 9 13% | $26k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 46% · November 11 29% · November 9 1% | $18k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $14k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 89% | $13k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 9–November 15 50% · November 2–November 8 24% | $12k |
| Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? | Yes 81% · No 20% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xf5f6… | No | $96.51 |
| 0xef34… | No | $84.61 |
| 0x82eb… | No | $63.85 |
| 0x36da… | No | $56.84 |
| K7fhp9vXm2Rtw4LbN8cGy3Ds6AoE | No | $50 |
| 0xc7d0… | No | $49.41 |
| NoTeacher | No | $34.60 |
| dpnd | No | $33 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | $22.44 |
| MrV1be | No | $22.36 |
| JsonStatham | No | $22.21 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | $18 |
50 wallets held a position at the close. The 30 biggest winners took $643; the 20 biggest losers gave up $357. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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