No 82% · Yes 19%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 27¢). Volume $9.3k, liquidity $563. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 72% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 23–November 29 6% | $26k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 69% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3% | $18k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 53% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 5% | $16k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $13k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 62% · November 16–November 22 14% · November 9–November 15 9% | $11k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $7k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 11 30% · November 10 17% · No release by November 30 10% | $7k |
| Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of November? | MiniMax 54% · Google 44% | $5k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 8dcc906a9b | Yes | 760 |
| 5.6sol | Yes | 500 |
| 0xa7c4…f4e9 | Yes | 400 |
| probability | Yes | 307 |
| molodoyy | Yes | 281 |
| mewmew1 | Yes | 216 |
| 0x530f…0f5d | Yes | 200 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 145 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 136 |
| BornAgain26 | Yes | 100 |
| Milksheen | No | 3k |
| pragmat1sm | No | 439 |
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