Yes 55% · No 46%. Smart money leans No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 62¢). Volume $16k, liquidity $739. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $655k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $277k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $235k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 93% · No 8% | $190k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $185k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $180k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $153k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $131k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| phsr | Yes | 1k |
| Yossi.naveh1 | Yes | 300 |
| HolyMoses7 | Yes | 250 |
| Best1964 | Yes | 87 |
| lissartter | Yes | 81 |
| 0x0011db | Yes | 71 |
| Yomas | Yes | 57 |
| melonmanm | Yes | 50 |
| DeFox1125 | Yes | 39 |
| 0x34dc…d280 | Yes | 15 |
| 0x6b22…72e7 | No | 436 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 253 |
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