Yes 76% · No 25%. Smart money leans Yes (6 ranked wallets, average entry 72¢). Volume $35k, liquidity $20k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $691k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $277k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $233k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $188k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $181k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 94% · No 7% | $178k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $159k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $131k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x0745…4a1b | Yes | 746 |
| 101456 | Yes | 633 |
| Te0n2 | Yes | 500 |
| 881112 | Yes | 422 |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 275 |
| yeeza | Yes | 256 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes | 235 |
| Lipo | Yes | 164 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 146 |
| 0x4e84ce | Yes | 107 |
| Lerney | No | 868 |
| rocky42006 | No | 780 |
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.