49ers won. Smart money backed Commanders (8 ranked wallets, average entry 19¢) and lost. Volume $5.4M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 37% · IA 11% · IA, KS 6% | $10.3M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $8.4M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $4.7M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 76% · Republican Party 24% | $2.8M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $2.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.6M |
| Raptors vs. Clippers | Raptors 18% · Clippers 82% | $1.2M |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 72% · No 28% | $1.1M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| milkteaboba | 49ers | $79k |
| User1244322 | 49ers | $9k |
| chumpchange800 | 49ers | $8k |
| Brian88888 | 49ers | $4k |
| AppleTiime | 49ers | $3k |
| LadyLuck2 | 49ers | $3k |
| BanfieldChris | Commanders | $2k |
| donaldbush | 49ers | $2k |
| WeDownBad | 49ers | $2k |
| Wldntulike2know | 49ers | $2k |
| 0xfc08… | Commanders | $2k |
| Marcos.vher | 49ers | $1k |
865 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $137k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $40k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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