Avalanche won. Smart money backed Flames (13 ranked wallets, average entry 23¢) and lost. Volume $109k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 67% · No change 33% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.6M |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | PARIVISION 71% · Natus Vincere 29% | $1.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $985k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% · Kamala Harris 4% | $800k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Marco Rubio 20% · Ron DeSantis 13% | $515k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $456k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 73% · Puma Shen 28% | $305k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $279k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xf62b… | Avalanche | $4k |
| AnonymousUsername | Avalanche | $2k |
| Clawbangers | Avalanche | $316.48 |
| WearyWanderer | Avalanche | $221.78 |
| GamblingOdyssey | Avalanche | $176.92 |
| 4everandever | Avalanche | $147.01 |
| BeginnerXYZ | Avalanche | $136.36 |
| Woaifacai | Avalanche | $123.50 |
| 0x2e7c… | Avalanche | $71.04 |
| uniform.cougar01 | Avalanche | $64.02 |
| jayjaypt | Avalanche | $50 |
| 0x27f6… | Avalanche | $42.31 |
168 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $7.2k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $11k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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