Flames won. Smart money backed Sharks (19 ranked wallets, average entry 54¢) and lost. Volume $180k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Brian Kemp 1% · Donald Trump 1% | $3.7M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 5% · Andy Beshear 3% | $2.1M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.3M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% · James Talarico 2% | $869k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $766k |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Trail Blazers 86% · Suns 14% | $430k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 41% · David Lisnard 16% · Christine Lagarde 7% | $413k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| taylorsversion | Flames | $32k |
| royalestake | Flames | $4k |
| AreteM | Flames | $2k |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Flames | $1k |
| roldy | Flames | $1k |
| justaluckydude | Flames | $604.96 |
| 0x9674… | Flames | $541.84 |
| hurpdurp | Flames | $411.81 |
| genrysetaj | Flames | $407 |
| 0x2d8f… | Flames | $269.10 |
| geraldo777 | Flames | $173.70 |
| torta.tech | Flames | $125.21 |
241 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $44k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $64k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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