Lightning won. Smart money backed Red Wings (22 ranked wallets, average entry 29¢) and lost. Volume $244k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Byron Donalds 1% · John McEntee 0% · Tim Scott 0% | $1.4M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 3% | $1.4M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 76% · No change 24% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.1M |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alina Charaeva | Antonia Ruzic 43% · Alina Charaeva 57% | $647k |
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club | Draw (Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club) 93% · Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club 6% | $643k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · JD Vance 11% | $582k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Christine Lagarde 8% | $495k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 16% · No 85% | $476k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| taylorsversion | Lightning | $19k |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Lightning | $13k |
| mooseborzoi | Lightning | $10k |
| 0xf62b… | Lightning | $2k |
| geraldo777 | Lightning | $643.32 |
| temparal | Lightning | $166.40 |
| Clawbangers | Lightning | $164.18 |
| Magmag33 | Lightning | $162.38 |
| Multicoloured-Serf | Lightning | $134.50 |
| eoneq | Lightning | $82.98 |
| jayjaypt | Lightning | $77.78 |
| 0x8a06… | Lightning | $71.91 |
171 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $45k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $32k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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