Down won. Smart money backed Up (6 ranked wallets, average entry 62¢) and lost. Volume $3.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 64% · No change 34% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.7M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 19% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $1.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.1M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 21% · Joe Kent 1% | $694k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche | Lorenzo Musetti 1% · Luca Van Assche 100% | $613k |
| FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax | AFC Ajax 45% · FC Midtjylland 33% | $436k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $430k |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05? | Yes 62% · No 39% | $402k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| yesasdgfaskdfhask | Down | $168.28 |
| jeev | Down | $103.50 |
| RaNell | Down | $95.44 |
| 0x06ce...c70b8b | Down | $66.21 |
| 196874353278 | Down | $53.43 |
| superstonksbro | Down | $37.30 |
| Fotzelgambler | Down | $28.06 |
| bbd113d | Down | $13.70 |
| Hadikhan69 | Down | $11.93 |
| johncashi | Down | $9.81 |
| ddaasdf | Down | $9.80 |
| RaNell | Up | $7.75 |
43 wallets held a position at the close. The 15 biggest winners took $621; the 28 biggest losers gave up $777. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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