Team Liquid won. Smart money backed The Kafe (1 ranked wallet, average entry 11¢) and lost. Volume $612. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 21% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.7M |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $1.4M |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz | Taylor Fritz 45% · Carlos Alcaraz 55% | $1.0M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 20% · Jon Ossoff 19% · Glenn Youngkin 0% | $623k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 69% · Puma Shen 32% | $464k |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Karmine Corp 18% · T1 82% | $447k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 24% · T1 17% | $409k |
| Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | T1 65% · Karmine Corp 36% | $368k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| a2dw | Team Liquid | $1.43 |
| VlokaFiel | Team Liquid | $0.94 |
| 0x546a… | Team Liquid | $0.56 |
| gt7238 | The Kafe | −$27.76 |
| satniuq | The Kafe | −$3.36 |
| brunnpas | The Kafe | −$1.04 |
| 2012-2012 | The Kafe | −$1 |
7 wallets held a position at the close. The 3 biggest winners took $3; the 4 biggest losers gave up $33. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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