Team Risk won. Smart money backed Virtus.pro (2 ranked wallets, average entry 81¢) and lost. Volume $544. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 79% · No change 21% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.8M |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $1.4M |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz | Taylor Fritz 18% · Carlos Alcaraz 83% | $780k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 20% · Jon Ossoff 19% · James Talarico 2% | $692k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 32% | $465k |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Karmine Corp 18% · T1 83% | $436k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 24% · T1 17% | $420k |
| Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | T1 65% · Karmine Corp 36% | $367k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| placeb0 | Team Risk | $18.18 |
| satniuq | Team Risk | $14.60 |
| 0x56a9… | Team Risk | $9.30 |
| dd31s | Team Risk | $5.70 |
| 0xf27a… | Virtus.pro | −$35.00 |
| doc0505 | Virtus.pro | −$26.44 |
| abencoado | Virtus.pro | −$22.00 |
| bestAI | Virtus.pro | −$17.18 |
| placeb0 | Virtus.pro | −$11.60 |
| dd31s | Virtus.pro | −$0.50 |
| 0x56a9… | Virtus.pro | −$0.50 |
11 wallets held a position at the close. The 4 biggest winners took $48; the 7 biggest losers gave up $113. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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