No 73% · Yes 28%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 62¢). Volume $7.3k, liquidity $840. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $465k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $297k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $227k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $200k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $160k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $154k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 43% · No 57% | $137k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $124k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x7272…a67d | Yes | 500 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 427 |
| mousetrap301 | Yes | 386 |
| qaz1234567890 | Yes | 163 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 80 |
| Guyton | Yes | 54 |
| scotsban | Yes | 54 |
| BetaShrimp | Yes | 41 |
| Carabao | Yes | 40 |
| aenews6 | Yes | 40 |
| JMSHZMBR988115 | No | 986 |
| Analista. | No | 300 |
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