SCARZ won. Smart money backed FearX (11 ranked wallets, average entry 41¢) and lost. Volume $1.9k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 79% · No change 21% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.8M |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $1.4M |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz | Taylor Fritz 28% · Carlos Alcaraz 72% | $622k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 32% | $474k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 20% · Glenn Youngkin 0% · Nikki Haley 0% | $431k |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Karmine Corp 18% · T1 83% | $406k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $399k |
| Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | T1 65% · Karmine Corp 36% | $366k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| vadimsm26 | SCARZ | $29.37 |
| assasin5002 | SCARZ | $23.69 |
| SilentStorm890 | SCARZ | $14.97 |
| 0x7302… | SCARZ | $8 |
| trader4648 | SCARZ | $3.93 |
| GOLDENPHOENIX99 | SCARZ | $3.78 |
| vardaman-bundren | SCARZ | $3.77 |
| 0x62f2… | SCARZ | $3.26 |
| dfwllsdfj | SCARZ | $2.35 |
| sdflll11 | SCARZ | $2.10 |
| dd31s | SCARZ | $2.10 |
| itwasawholething | SCARZ | $1.35 |
27 wallets held a position at the close. The 13 biggest winners took $100; the 14 biggest losers gave up $270. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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