No won. Smart money backed Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 18¢) and lost. Volume $5.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 16% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $2.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Andy Beshear 4% · Josh Shapiro 4% | $2.0M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 82% · No change 19% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.5M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 82% · AEK 8% | $971k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $720k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 15% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $455k |
| UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion | Paris Saint-Germain 19% · Galatasaray 0% | $416k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Antony82 | No | $377.14 |
| Snoorrason | No | $164.06 |
| ifyouloveme | No | $152.54 |
| GroovyCr0c0dil3 | Yes | $92.02 |
| rubby1337 | No | $89.03 |
| title1 | No | $81.56 |
| fastandfudurious | No | $30.60 |
| annont | No | $28.02 |
| pad6 | No | $19.71 |
| tradeo39 | No | $14.20 |
| YourAnimeGirl | No | $11.18 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | $10.01 |
41 wallets held a position at the close. The 18 biggest winners took $1.1k; the 23 biggest losers gave up $710. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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