Up won. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 37¢) and lost. Volume $41k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Marco Rubio 19% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $1.9M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 24% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 3% | $1.4M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 77% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.1M |
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club | Draw (Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club) 94% · Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club 6% | $624k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 16% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14% | $588k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Christine Lagarde 8% | $503k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 17% · No 84% | $495k |
| UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion | Paris Saint-Germain 19% · Galatasaray 0% | $402k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x5c66… | Down | $139.18 |
| GOATa0plus | Down | $122.13 |
| NicoleHarper5140 | Up | $29.73 |
| 0x54d0… | Up | $25.40 |
| 0x6422… | Up | $15.47 |
| RDBL | Down | $13.50 |
| Slackjaw | Up | $10.20 |
| mussshow | Up | $8.67 |
| JustBot | Up | $8.00 |
| mikon009 | Up | $5.57 |
| albatrouce | Up | $5 |
| Turkmuncher | Up | $4.80 |
76 wallets held a position at the close. The 28 biggest winners took $418; the 48 biggest losers gave up $2.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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