No won. Smart money backed Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 54¢) and lost. Volume $2.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $12.2M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $7.0M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 73% · R Senate, D House 22% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $6.6M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 74% · Republican Party 26% | $4.5M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $3.9M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 76% · Mike Rogers (R) 23% | $1.8M |
| Florida Governor Election Winner | Byron Donalds (R) 68% · David Jolly (D) 33% | $1.5M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 64% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 36% | $1.4M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Antony82 | No | $265.71 |
| Addarash | No | $143.90 |
| aljarreau | No | $28.76 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | No | $17.63 |
| cybermaxs | No | $16.80 |
| UN-Sure | No | $14.82 |
| AllyouneedisClaude | No | $14.29 |
| rubby1337 | No | $7.15 |
| value77 | Yes | $5.40 |
| pad6 | No | $5.40 |
| jzr09 | No | $3.77 |
| IgorBgd | No | $2.80 |
26 wallets held a position at the close. The 14 biggest winners took $529; the 12 biggest losers gave up $198. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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