Karmine Corp won. Smart money backed Team Falcons (6 ranked wallets, average entry 51¢) and lost. Volume $3.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 21% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.7M |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $1.4M |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz | Taylor Fritz 37% · Carlos Alcaraz 63% | $1.0M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 20% · Jon Ossoff 19% · Glenn Youngkin 0% | $623k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 32% | $464k |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Karmine Corp 18% · T1 82% | $447k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 24% · T1 17% | $409k |
| Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | T1 65% · Karmine Corp 36% | $368k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Area-51 | Karmine Corp | $287.86 |
| brownieboy222 | Karmine Corp | $183.67 |
| 0x9bee… | Karmine Corp | $86.57 |
| Seluj | Karmine Corp | $82.87 |
| someonesfavuncle | Karmine Corp | $69.97 |
| FF15XD | Karmine Corp | $56.10 |
| SlickRick123 | Karmine Corp | $37.65 |
| Rom1lus | Karmine Corp | $23.83 |
| 0xe28d… | Karmine Corp | $15.20 |
| 0xa0bd… | Karmine Corp | $14.65 |
| darl-bundren | Karmine Corp | $14.19 |
| aab11 | Karmine Corp | $10.40 |
43 wallets held a position at the close. The 17 biggest winners took $900; the 26 biggest losers gave up $1.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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