NIP.eStar won. Smart money backed Karmine Corp (1 ranked wallet, average entry 33¢) and lost. Volume $391. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Raptors vs. Bucks | Raptors 36% · Bucks 65% | $1.5M |
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies | Thunder 96% · Grizzlies 5% | $1.4M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Abdul El-Sayed 1% · Elissa Slotkin 0% | $1.4M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 77% · No change 22% · 50+ bps decrease 1% | $1.2M |
| 76ers vs. Cavaliers | 76ers 39% · Cavaliers 61% | $1.1M |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $1.1M |
| Spurs vs. Kings | Spurs 90% · Kings 11% | $850k |
| Ducks vs. Flames | Ducks 14% · Flames 87% | $630k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| BlackJacks | NIP.eStar | $36 |
| mronche | NIP.eStar | $24.70 |
| 0x4a1a… | NIP.eStar | $3.11 |
| TopRizz | Karmine Corp | −$24.78 |
4 wallets held a position at the close. The 3 biggest winners took $64; the 1 biggest losers gave up $25. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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