No 78% · Yes 23%. Smart money leans Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 21¢). Volume $51k, liquidity $83k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 16% · No 85% | $476k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 9% · No 92% | $308k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $250k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 96% | $212k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $211k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $202k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 41% · No 59% | $181k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $159k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Car | Yes | 7k |
| Lolakis | Yes | 5k |
| gesst | Yes | 2k |
| 2conservative | Yes | 1k |
| 0xc9f197 | Yes | 833 |
| Askeladd. | Yes | 417 |
| televisionloud | Yes | 389 |
| garbagefriends | Yes | 249 |
| UbuntuTrading | Yes | 200 |
| 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | 146 |
| Artets | No | 7k |
| KrackenSruster | No | 5k |
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