No won. Smart money backed Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 67¢) and lost. Volume $1.0M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | SpaceX 57% · Anthropic 43% · OpenAI 0% | $82k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $42k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $38k |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $31k |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes 18% · No 83% | $28k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $24k |
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $1.75–$2.0T 31% · $2.0–$2.25T 20% · $1.5–$1.75T 19% | $24k |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | Yes 6% · No 94% | $24k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| M2sx92kljs42 | No | $9k |
| eCash | No | $6k |
| 0x56e7… | No | $5k |
| goatboss | No | $5k |
| melonmanm | No | $4k |
| BikesAreTheBikes | No | $3k |
| b57 | No | $3k |
| LJa7io23MCv954j | No | $3k |
| GuyFromTinder | No | $3k |
| Noahrichards98 | No | $2k |
| nellojello | No | $2k |
| WEN-ALPHA | No | $2k |
1,693 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $69k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $85k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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