No 58% · Yes 42%. Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 89¢). Volume $1.6k, liquidity $66. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $308k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 18% · No 83% | $269k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 96% | $233k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $225k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 40% · No 60% | $213k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 27% · No 74% | $205k |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes 47% · No 54% | $118k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $105k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 124 |
| deuxgaules | Yes | 85 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | 47 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 23 |
| a5533 | Yes | 20 |
| usernameisrandomorlong | Yes | 10 |
| yopik | Yes | 9 |
| 0xf52860 | Yes | 6 |
| rrgtrtrgr | Yes | 1 |
| Johnny-Worker | No | 81 |
| AMAM13 | No | 80 |
| Haradwaith | No | 80 |
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