Down won. Smart money backed Up (1 ranked wallet, average entry 66¢) and lost. Volume $705. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $2.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · James Talarico 4% · Andy Beshear 3% | $1.5M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $972k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · James Talarico 2% · Ivanka Trump 1% | $842k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $691k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic | Xinyu Wang 64% · Antonia Ruzic 37% | $366k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $336k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| randombuys | Down | $22.73 |
| McxBoi | Down | $15.34 |
| 0xf575… | Down | $15 |
| FelixxGross | Down | $9.20 |
| YouSayUpISayDown | Down | $7.29 |
| lazime8 | Down | $7.03 |
| 0x1bc3… | Down | $6.29 |
| kevincassa | Down | $4.55 |
| 0xb040… | Down | $4.50 |
| tlj50505 | Down | $4.16 |
| lostwo1f | Down | $3.76 |
| 0xd267… | Down | $3.69 |
31 wallets held a position at the close. The 17 biggest winners took $110; the 14 biggest losers gave up $97. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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