Down won. Smart money backed Up (1 ranked wallet, average entry 53¢) and lost. Volume $790. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA 10% | $4.3M |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC | Arsenal FC 80% · Draw (Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC) 20% · Liverpool FC 2% | $1.9M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.7M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.5M |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | Over 6% · Under 95% | $1.4M |
| Browns vs. Steelers | Browns 31% · Steelers 70% | $934k |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) | Steelers 50% · Browns 51% | $931k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 70% · Mike Rogers (R) 31% | $789k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| neutralwave23 | Down | $19.88 |
| MayorMamdani | Down | $14.97 |
| kevincassa | Down | $11.55 |
| zzzz10088 | Down | $4.83 |
| ByteBadger92 | Up | $4.52 |
| OBParasite | Down | $3.86 |
| ByteBadger92 | Down | $3.72 |
| angelsanddemons | Down | $3.38 |
| RCC1985 | Down | $3.22 |
| TheIntraMonk | Down | $3.18 |
| asidjasiodja | Down | $2.92 |
| AceTAce | Down | $2.90 |
33 wallets held a position at the close. The 18 biggest winners took $91; the 15 biggest losers gave up $67. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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