Up won. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 60¢) and lost. Volume $831. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 71% · No change 28% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.8M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 19% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.1M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 22% · Joe Kent 1% | $714k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche | Lorenzo Musetti 71% · Luca Van Assche 29% | $538k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $399k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 87% | $370k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 50% · No 51% | $360k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| xinyiyi | Up | $4.90 |
| mrdy | Up | $3.29 |
| angelsanddemons | Up | $3.17 |
| fliggy | Up | $2.88 |
| Jondandersson | Up | $2.35 |
| TheIntraMonk | Up | $2.35 |
| ababxyxy | Up | $2.15 |
| demouser7770 | Up | $0.83 |
| 0x2a19… | Up | $0.74 |
| 0xa807… | Down | −$10 |
| 0x817b… | Down | −$10 |
| KyroKennn | Down | −$9.56 |
37 wallets held a position at the close. The 9 biggest winners took $23; the 28 biggest losers gave up $89. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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