Down won. Smart money backed Up (1 ranked wallet, average entry 46¢) and lost. Volume $0. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 34% · Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% | $1.8M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.2M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $590k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala | Tereza Valentova 23% · Alexandra Eala 78% | $463k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $457k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $419k |
| Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva | Mai Hontama 86% · Zhibek Kulambayeva 14% | $401k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ababxyxy | Down | $3.37 |
| lovebtc5 | Down | $1.88 |
| 0x210d… | Down | $1.64 |
| fliggy | Down | $1.13 |
| attt | Down | $1.06 |
| yesmore | Down | $1.00 |
| nahava | Down | $0.54 |
| soswald1 | Down | $0.50 |
| soswald1 | Up | −$4.50 |
| 0xd739… | Up | −$3.25 |
| oyunadahil | Up | −$3 |
| choulishuang | Down | −$2.25 |
21 wallets held a position at the close. The 8 biggest winners took $11; the 13 biggest losers gave up $26. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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