Yes won. Smart money backed No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 12¢) and lost. Volume $2.1M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | SpaceX 56% · Anthropic 43% · OpenAI 1% | $96k |
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $1.75–$2.0T 31% · $2.0–$2.25T 20% · $1.5–$1.75T 19% | $37k |
| Anthropic IPO Date | November 19 21% · November 20 19% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 16% | $27k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $25k |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | Yes 7% · No 93% | $24k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November? | Yes 6% · No 94% | $22k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $19k |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes 22% · No 79% | $16k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| HEBI55 | Yes | $49k |
| aoidwa | Yes | $17k |
| 0x16c7… | Yes | $13k |
| Brunoruno | Yes | $5k |
| sansui1 | Yes | $3k |
| asdfasdxcxc | Yes | $3k |
| Quirinus | Yes | $3k |
| 0x3bee… | Yes | $2k |
| topdaddy1 | Yes | $2k |
| KoKo19 | Yes | $2k |
| ladida33 | Yes | $2k |
| KDB | Yes | $1k |
1,278 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $126k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $61k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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