Down won. Smart money backed Up (3 ranked wallets, average entry 42¢) and lost. Volume $281k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
244 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $53k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $27k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $5.9M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.6M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.1M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $693k |
| Nebraska Senate Election Winner | Pete Ricketts (R) 75% · Independent 26% | $687k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $484k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $457k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x06b2… | Down | $29k |
| biscit | Down | $8k |
| flipforchanel | Down | $6k |
| cheapstox524 | Down | $5k |
| russell110320 | Down | $823.68 |
| 0x06ce...c70b8b | Down | $728.69 |
| 0x5730… | Down | $288.30 |
| david1234r | Down | $280.00 |
| 0xa8ca… | Down | $279.03 |
| oleksii23 | Down | $277.93 |
| Bettinginsight | Down | $152.91 |
| chad-2001-c | Down | $140.86 |